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Wilson Lai
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The S&P 500 sold off by 5% during the past week, eliminating the market's YTD gains. The equal-weight S&P 500 has returned 3% YTD. In our conversations, clients have asked about the reasons for the drawdown, which catalysts would cause the market to rebound, and the balance of risks along the path forward.
1 Mar 2025 | 5:56am| 23pg| Research | Portfolio Strategy-David J. Kostin and others
We reiterate our Buy rating on Deere and raise our 12-month price target to $583 (from $530) as we raise our target mid-cycle P/E multiple to 22x from 20x driven by rising visibility on (i) declining capital stock, (ii) ...
3 Mar 2025 | 8:04am| 11pg| Research | Equity-Jerry Revich, CFA and others

CHINA INDUSTRIALS FIELD TRIP TAKEAWAYS

IN THE SPOTLIGHT

We update our global EV battery TAM, supply-demand models, earnings/TPs, stress test analysis and long-term bull/bear risk-reward scenarios. The  steepening global batteries cost curve is driving continued plant cancellations/delays (c.606 GWh in US and Europe over the past 18 months). However, the incremental pull-back in capex and supply path since our last updates ( here and  here) is lagging our revised lower EV battery TAM growth in  US and  Europe. As such, our refreshed estimates suggest Korean battery plant utilization rates may recover only from 2026 and reach closer to 2023 levels by 2027.

Also see: LG Chem (051910.KS): What would it take to re-rate the stock? Maintain Buy
/content/research/authors/8911c6cc-db9f-11dc-9d0b-001185134607.html

Nikhil Bhandari

Co-head, APAC Natural Resources & Clean Energy | Singapore
2 Mar 2025 | 4:03pm| 25pg| Research | Equity-Nikhil Bhandari and others

Korea Value in Action (#7): Reality check on Value-Up momentum and the path forward

Although political uncertainty may have dampened market sentiment on the Value-Up program, corporate disclosures have picked up meaningfully following the Value-Up Index launch, and they are accelerating. With increased participation, both buyback activities and treasury share cancellation have increased well above historical trends and dividend momentum has strengthened as companies look to deliver on their promises. We highlight Samsung F&M (000810.KS) for improving shareholder return visibility and KT Corp. (030200.KS)/LG Chem (051910.KS) given room to streamline non-core assets.

2 Mar 2025 | Research | Equity - Sinyoung Park and others

South Korea Telecom Services: Turn cautious on telco space; KT stands out on improving shareholder return (up to Buy); Neutral on SKT (d/g), LGU

We look at the (1) overall ROIC trend that seems to be on a structurally deteriorating trend over the LT despite generation upgrades, with (2) the wireless segment momentum more subdued in the ST, and (3) increased concerns over multiple regulatory risk factors (although we have mixed views on each factor).

2 Mar 2025 | Research | Equity - Eric Cha and others

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3 Mar 2025 | 10:03am| 13pg| Research | Equity-Richard Ramsden and others
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3 Mar 2025 | 9:57am| 7pg| Research | Equity-Salveen Richter, CFA and others
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DAILY ROUNDUPS
End of Month Market Intelligence: diversify
1 Mar 2025 | 2:49am| 9pg| Research | Equity-Chris Hussey and others
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